The Markin ARPU report for B2C enterprisesRead now
MARKIN

COMPARE/Markin and your stack

Markin + Braze: from customer data to prioritised retention actions

+17–35% ARPU against holdoutObserved range across Markin deployments, measured on treated cohorts.

Braze is a customer engagement platform: Canvas journeys, cross-channel delivery and message personalisation. Markin sits before it and decides which commercial opportunity is worth acting on for each customer, and what it is worth. The decision is made in Markin; the message is still built, personalised and delivered by Braze.

What is at stake

A decision layer is not a tool line item. It moves ARPU on the whole base, every month.

Installed base

4.0M

customers at $18 ARPU / month

Addressable revenue

$535.7M

per year, reachable base

Verified ARPU uplift

+17% to +35% ARPU

on treated cohorts, against holdout

What that is worth

$91.1M – $187.5M

incremental revenue per year

Measured on treated cohorts against a randomised holdout, read over a full measurement window rather than the first weeks. Anonymised range across Markin deployments in large B2C bases; your own holdout is the number that decides. The figures above apply that range to the reachable share of the base on this page's assumptions; they are arithmetic, not a forecast for your business.

Run it on your own numbers

What your stack does today.

01

Braze

A customer engagement platform for designing and delivering cross-channel journeys, email, push, in-app, SMS and web, with Canvas orchestration, Liquid personalisation and delivery analytics.

02

Markin, the decision + execution layer

A layer that ranks commercial opportunities per customer, sizes the revenue at stake, selects the treatment with the highest expected incremental value and decides when not to contact at all.

Side by side

The differences that change outcomes.

DimensionBrazeMarkin, the decision + execution layer
Question it answersHow do we build, personalise and deliver this journey across channels?Which opportunity justifies contact for this customer, and which treatment wins?
Primary inputAudiences and user attributes, custom events, journey logic, content templates.Customer context, outcomes, contact history, margins, constraints, past experiment results.
Primary outputDelivered messages, journey state and engagement reporting.A ranked, sized decision per customer, including hold, pushed into Braze as the entry signal.
Usual ownerCRM and lifecycle marketing.Growth, data science and revenue leadership.
How it's measuredDeliverability, open and click rate, conversion attributed to the Canvas.Incremental revenue and ARPU against a holdout.

The unsolved part

What stays unsolved when Braze is running well

A mature Braze setup usually has more Canvases than the customer base can absorb. The platform delivers whatever it is asked to deliver; deciding what deserves to be asked is a separate job, and it is normally done in planning meetings and spreadsheets.

  • A customer can qualify for several Canvases in the same week. Priority is resolved by frequency caps and eligibility rules, not by expected value.
  • Campaign reporting is per-Canvas. Nothing sums the effect of everything a customer received into one revenue number.
  • There is no explicit decision to leave a customer alone when no message has positive expected value.
  • New hypotheses arrive at the speed the lifecycle team can write briefs, not at the speed the data changes.

The actual difference

Markin is not another decisioning engine.

Markin is not a decisioning engine. A decisioning engine ranks actions a human already defined. Markin works like a data science and growth team: it forms its own hypotheses about why ARPU is stuck, marketing, product, pricing or technical, sizes them, executes them inside the systems you already run, and reads each one against a holdout.

 A decisioning engineMarkin
Where the hypothesis comes fromA human authors it. The engine chooses between options someone already approved.Markin authors it. It reads the base, finds where revenue is leaking or unclaimed, and writes the hypothesis itself.
What it is allowed to questionMessage, offer, channel, timing, inside the campaign surface it was given.Anything that moves ARPU: onboarding friction, pricing and packaging, a feature nobody adopts, a payment failure spike, a broken deeplink.
Who does the analysisYour analysts, before and after. The engine optimises; it does not investigate.Markin does the analysis. Sizing, segment definition, experiment design and readout are automated end to end.
Where it stopsAt the recommendation. Someone still has to build and launch it.It launches. Markin executes inside your existing platforms and product surfaces, then closes the loop on the result.
ThroughputAs many hypotheses as your roadmap has room for, typically a handful per quarter.Hundreds in parallel, every one carrying a control group.
What happens when it is wrongThe programme keeps running until someone reviews it.It is retired automatically. Failing to beat control is a normal, cheap outcome.

A decisioning engine picks the best action from a list you wrote. Markin writes the list, and runs it in your stack.

Hypothesis space

Everything a human growth scientist would look at.

Most growth problems are not message problems. Markin is not restricted to the campaign surface: if something is holding ARPU back, it is in scope, and it gets tested the same way.

Marketing

The classic surface, but chosen per customer rather than per segment, and always against a holdout.

  • Which offer this specific customer is worth making
  • Channel and timing chosen per person, not per campaign
  • Contact pressure and fatigue arbitrated across every programme
  • Win-back economics: who is worth a discount and who is not

Product

Where the customer actually experiences the value, and where most silent revenue loss happens.

  • Onboarding steps that lose customers before first value
  • A feature with high retention correlation that half the base never discovers
  • Paywall and upgrade prompt placement
  • In-product surfaces used as a treatment arm, not just email and push

Commercial

Pricing, packaging and the shape of the offer itself, tested rather than argued about.

  • Plan and bundle structure by cohort
  • Discount depth against margin, not against conversion alone
  • Annual versus monthly framing per customer
  • Dunning and involuntary churn recovery sequences

Technical health

Anomalies nobody asked it to look for. This is the category no decisioning engine covers.

  • A checkout error rate that rose on one device and one region
  • Payment failures concentrated in a single issuer or method
  • A broken deeplink quietly killing a high-value journey
  • Latency or delivery degradation eating conversion before any message does

Think of Markin as a data science and growth team that never sleeps: it investigates, forms hypotheses, ships them into your own stack and proves each one against a control group, at a volume no human team can reach.

Their decisioning layer

What Braze decides — and where it stops.

Braze does have a decisioning layer, and it is a real one. It selects content, channel and timing per individual, inside Canvas, across the channels Braze itself sends. That is a different scope from deciding which commercial opportunity is worth pursuing in the first place.

Products referenced: BrazeAI™, Sage AI by Braze, BrazeAI Decisioning Studio™, Intelligence Suite

What it optimises

Documented boundaries

  • Decisioning operates through Canvas. It optimises the messages Braze itself sends; it is not an arbitration layer over channels and touchpoints outside the Braze estate.

    Vendor pageBraze, BrazeAI product page
  • The unit of optimisation is content, channel and send time within a journey, not the revenue at stake behind the journey, its margin, or whether the journey should run at all.

    Vendor pageBraze, BrazeAI product page

What the evidence actually says

Where Markin is different.

Decides across the estate, not one channel

Markin arbitrates between everything a customer could receive this week, Braze journeys, service contact, in-product placements, field or care outreach, and picks one. Braze optimises what it sends; Markin decides whether Braze should be the one sending.

Optimises revenue, not engagement

Decisioning Studio ranks by likelihood of engagement. Markin ranks by expected incremental revenue net of margin and contact cost, which is why hold is a legitimate output.

Measured against holdout, by default

Every Markin decision carries a control group and reports incremental ARPU against it, rather than conversion attributed to a Canvas.

Architecture

How the two run together

Step 01

Context in

Markin reads customer context where it already lives, warehouse, CDP, product and billing systems, plus outcome history. Braze exports of engagement and delivery events can be part of that context.

Step 02

Decision

Markin generates and sizes revenue opportunities, ranks them per customer, chooses a treatment and assigns a control group. The output is one decision per customer, with an expected value attached.

Step 03

Activation back into Braze

The chosen decision is written back as user attributes or a triggered event, so an existing Canvas picks it up and delivers it. Content, channel governance and send-time logic remain in Braze.

The last step is execution, not a hand-off. Markin does not email a recommendation to someone who then has to build it: it launches the treatment inside Braze and your product surfaces directly, with the holdout attached, and reads the result itself.

The loop

Execution is a step in the loop, not a hand-off.

  1. 01

    Observe

    Markin reads the behavioural, transactional and product signal you already collect, continuously.

  2. 02

    Hypothesise

    It writes the hypothesis itself, marketing, product, commercial or technical, and states the expected direction.

  3. 03

    Size

    Each opportunity is ranked by expected value, so the queue is ordered by money rather than by opinion.

  4. 04

    Design

    Segment, treatment, guardrails and a randomised holdout are set before anything ships.

  5. 05

    Execute

    It launches inside the systems you already run, your engagement platform, your product surfaces, your APIs. Nothing waits on a build queue.

  6. 06

    Read

    Results are measured against the holdout over a full window, so novelty is not mistaken for effect.

  7. 07

    Scale or retire

    What beats control is scaled across the base. What does not is switched off automatically.

Where Markin fits

Not a replacement. A growth-science team on top.

Markin does not send messages. It decides which of the things you could send is the one that adds revenue, then hands that decision to Braze to execute. Lifecycle keeps its templates, its brand controls and its channel expertise; what changes is the input that triggers the journey.

Canvas entry becomes a decision, not a rule

Instead of an eligibility segment, the entry signal is a ranked opportunity with an expected value, so the highest-value action wins the customer's attention that week.

Contact budget is allocated, not capped

Frequency caps stop over-messaging. Decisioning goes further: it spends each contact on the opportunity with the best expected return, and holds when none clears the bar.

Measured against control, not attributed

Every decision carries a holdout, so the reported number is incremental revenue rather than conversions credited to a send.

Operating model

The constraint is not ideas. It is how many you can test.

 Today, with BrazeWith Markin on top
Revenue hypotheses tested per quarter4 to 8, whatever the roadmap had room forHundreds, generated and run in parallel
What can be hypothesised aboutMessages, offers and audiences, the campaign surfaceMarketing, product, pricing and technical health alike
From decision to live in the channelA ticket, a build queue, a release windowMarkin launches it in your existing platforms itself
Time from idea to a result you trust6 to 10 weeks of analysis, build and readoutDays, because sizing and design are automated
Share of decisions with a control groupThe flagship programmes, when there is timeEvery decision, by default
Coverage of the baseTop segments and the customers a rule caughtOne decision per customer, across the whole base
Cost of testing the 500th hypothesisAnother analyst, another quarterEffectively zero
What the team spends its time onPulling data, building lists, reconciling reportsJudgement: constraints, economics, what to scale

Markin does not replace your data science team. It removes the ceiling on how much of the base that team can act on, and how fast it finds out whether it worked.

What Markin does not replace.

To be explicit about scope, because procurement will ask:

  • Markin does not send email, push, SMS or in-app messages. Delivery stays in Braze.
  • Markin does not manage templates, brand controls or channel credentials.
  • Markin is not a system of record for consent or communication preferences.
  • Markin does not replace Canvas orchestration; it supplies the signal that starts the right one.
  • Markin does not sit beside Braze making suggestions. It drives it, the action is launched there, in the system your team already knows, and the result comes back into the loop.

Evidence standard

Most of this category reports its own lift.

None of the major engagement, CDP or personalisation vendors publishes an independently verified uplift figure for its decisioning product. Where numbers exist, they come from vendor-commissioned studies or single-customer case studies with no disclosed holdout methodology. The most rigorous public research in the category is not flattering to anyone, including us, which is exactly why we build against it.

How Markin holds itself to it

  • Every decision Markin makes carries a control group. Uplift is reported against that holdout, not against the customers who did not qualify.
  • Results are read over a full measurement window rather than in the first weeks, so novelty is not mistaken for effect.
  • Programmes that fail to beat control are retired automatically. Killing decisions that do not pay is part of the loop, not an annual review.
  • The one figure we quote about ourselves is a range, not an average: +17% to +35% ARPU on treated cohorts against a randomised holdout, across Markin deployments in large B2C bases. We publish no industry benchmark, because we could not source one we would be willing to defend. Your holdout is the number that matters.

Size it yourself

Size the decision layer on top of your Braze programme

Preloaded for a consumer subscription business running Braze at scale: high reach, frequent contact, a mature messaging team. Braze optimises the messages it sends. The figure below is the incremental margin available from deciding what is worth sending at all, including deciding not to contact, measured against a holdout rather than attributed to a Canvas.

Your base

4.0M

Accounts that generated revenue in the last 30 days. Not registered users.

$18

Recurring plus non-recurring revenue divided by active customers.

70%

Margin on the next unit sold, not blended company margin.

Your programme today

62%

Consented, non-fatigued, reachable on at least one channel.

3.2%

Revenue lost to cancellations each month, as a share of the base.

The bet

$1.2M

Licences, data, incentives and the people running it.

3%

Before any incrementality haircut. 2–4% is a defensible planning assumption.

Verified annual impact

$6.7M

Net incremental gross margin in the central case, after the programme cost and after the share of decisioning programmes that independent research finds deliver no real lift.

Reported uplift

$16.1M

What a before/after dashboard would claim, with no control group.

Verified uplift

$11.2M

What survives a holdout in the central case.

Return on programme cost

6.6×

Payback

2 mo

If 20–40% of it does nothing

Best case · 20% no lift$7.8M
Central case · 30% no lift$6.7M
Worst case · 40% no lift$5.5M

What it takes to prove it

To detect a 3% lift on revenue per customer you need roughly 40K customers in the control arm, about 1.6% of your addressable base, read over at least 8 weeks, so novelty is not mistaken for effect.

Addressable base

2.5M

Revenue at risk from churn

$279.2M

Annualised, at the current monthly rate.

Open the full calculator, with the method behind it

Time to value

90 days to a number that survived a holdout.

No replatform, no data migration, no rebuild of the channels you already run. If the first cohorts do not beat control, nothing scales and you have lost a quarter, not a roadmap.

  1. Weeks 0–2

    Read the context you already have

    Markin connects to the data and the channels you run today, Braze included. No migration, no replatform, no new source of truth.

  2. Weeks 3–6

    First sized opportunities in test

    Opportunities are ranked by expected value, treatments are chosen per customer, and the first cohorts go live with a randomised holdout attached.

  3. Weeks 7–12

    First verified incremental revenue

    Results are read over a full measurement window. What beats control scales; what does not is retired. Nothing scales on a number that has not survived a holdout.

When you don’t need Markin.

  • You run a handful of lifecycle journeys and the team can still reason about priority in a single meeting.
  • Your customer data is not yet reliable enough to size opportunities: fix ingestion and identity first.
  • You want a cheaper way to send messages. This layer does not replace an engagement platform and does not reduce its cost.

Questions buyers ask.

Does Braze already have AI decisioning?

Yes. BrazeAI Decisioning Studio™ selects content, channel and timing per individual inside Canvas, and Sage AI powers predictive and generative features across the platform. Its scope is the messages Braze sends. It does not size the revenue opportunity behind a journey, arbitrate against touchpoints outside Braze, or decide that no contact is the best option. The only published performance research is a Forrester Total Economic Impact study commissioned by Braze (May 2026).

Do we have to replace Braze?

No. Braze remains the execution layer. Markin decides which opportunity is worth a message and passes that decision into Braze, which builds and delivers it exactly as it does today.

How does the decision reach Braze?

As customer attributes or triggered events on the profile, so existing Canvases can key off them. The integration surface is the same one your team already uses for any other upstream signal.

Does this add another audience-building tool?

No. Markin produces ranked, sized opportunities per customer rather than segments. Audience building for broadcast and brand campaigns stays where it is.

Who owns the output, marketing or data?

Both, deliberately. Data science owns the models and the experiment design; lifecycle owns the treatments and the channel. The decision layer is the shared contract between them.

What does the first ninety days look like?

One revenue theme, one channel, a real holdout. The point of the first quarter is a defensible incremental number, not full coverage of the journey map.

How is Markin different from the decisioning or AI already inside Braze?

A decisioning engine ranks actions a human already defined, inside the campaign surface it was given. Markin forms the hypotheses itself, marketing, product, pricing or a technical anomaly holding growth back, sizes them, executes them inside Braze and your product surfaces, and reads each one against a randomised holdout. It behaves like a data science and growth team, not like an optimiser.

Does Markin only test messages and offers?

No. Anything a human growth scientist would investigate is in scope: onboarding friction, feature adoption, pricing and packaging, dunning, and technical health issues such as a checkout error rate or a broken deeplink quietly killing conversion. Marketing is one of four hypothesis domains, not the boundary.

What is the business case for adding Markin on top of Braze?

On the assumptions preloaded above, 4.0M customers at 18 a month, a small move in ARPU is a large number in absolute terms, because it applies to the whole installed base every month rather than to a campaign. Across Markin deployments the verified range on treated cohorts is +17% to +35% ARPU against a randomised holdout. The point is not more messages: it is finding the highest-value action per customer, launching it, and proving it against control before it scales.

How long before it pays for itself?

First sized opportunities are in test within six weeks and the first holdout-verified result lands inside 90 days. Payback depends on your base, margin and programme cost, the calculator on this page computes it from your own numbers, after applying the 20% to 40% haircut BCG finds when next-best-action programmes are incrementality-tested.